www.upfrontezine.com

Issue #213: 8 August, 2000



We're taking our annual summer vacation, so this is our last issue until the first week of September. This year, the entire staff of upFront.eZine is off to see the beautiful Banff National Park, as well as spend time in Edmonton, Alberta Canada. As has become tradition, this pre-vacation issue contains non-CAD topics. I also have for you reaction to last issue's editorial on the B2B/P2P business, as well as a survey that I hope you will take the time to fill out.
- Ralph Grabowski


Revit & Software Cycles

Revit called last week talk about their forthcoming version 2, which is due out by the end of August. The purpose of the call was to discuss the new features, but instead we got into a discussion about software release cycles. Version 2 is being released just over 90 days after v1 shipped, with v3 scheduled for "before the end of the year." This schedule is more familiar to mechanical CAD users than to architects and builders.

"Faster releases are more digestible," Revit told me, so I asked, "How can that work, given that Autodesk has problems getting all its users to upgrade every two years?" Indeed, it has become policy at some firms to skip every other major upgrade. Part of the answer, Revit believes, is in the consistency of the user interface. Revit v2 doesn't look or work any different from v1. One fallacy in the software industry is that users expect new features to sport a different user interface, which bites back by making it harder to learn the new features.

Another answer, Revit believes, is the subscription-only revenue model that they employ, coupled with Web-based updates. The users get the upgrade free -- or, more accurately, at no extra cost.

Speaking of cost, I asked when we would get to hear the number of users, rather than the number of firms ("over 100") now using Revit. I got back this answer: "We don't want to get into a numbers game." Reminds me of Visio in the early months of IntelliCAD.

Wonders one CAD vendor: "If, say, a Gensler, which standardized on AutoCAD and MicroStation, takes a one-month subscription with Revit on 1 copy, what does that mean?" Since Revit uses monthly subscriptions, the number of users fluctuates every month. This is different from, say, Autodesk, who can count a purchaser of AutoCAD v1.0 some 18 years ago as one of their millions of users -- even if the software is no longer used. On the other hand, when a magazine such as upFront.eZine boast of the number of subscribers, it is the current number of subscribers, not a cumulative total. This makes it difficult for subscription-based vendors, such as think3 and Revit, to play the numbers game.

As for new features, Revit's phone call emphasized just two out of 100: cost estimating early in the project (already shown to me at the AEC Systems show) and parametric detailing. A PDF file describing what's new in v2 can be downloaded from http://www.revit.com/cornerstone/index.html


Reader Survey

I've haven't done this in a long time, and since it'll be three weeks until the next issue of upFront.eZine, you have lots of time to reply to this short survey. I'll summarize the results, and present them in a future issue. Thanks!

Q1: How many other people read your copy of upFront.eZine?

Q2: Which other CAD ezines you to subscribe to?

Q3: What do you like best about upFront.eZine?

Q4: What irritates you the most about upFront.eZine?

Q5: Have you ever responded to an ad in upFront.eZine?

Q6: Which CAD package do you use the most?

Q7: What do you consider the primary issue facing CAD users?

Q8: Please describe your position in the CAD world, in a couple of words.

Q9: What would you like to see added to (or removed from) upFront.eZine?

Q10: Any other comments?

Please email your response to ralphg@xyzpress.com by 1 September, 2000.


Ralph's No-CAD Summer Reading List

Most of my time is spent reading and writing about computers and CAD, so I spend some portions of my free time reading about non-CAD subjects. I find non-fiction more interesting than fiction, and here is the list of some of the books I have stacked up to read over the summer, and beyond. As well, I include a book review by Howard Cohen, a long-time upFront.eZine reader.

"The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World."
Robert Shwartz describes a method used by Shell Oil and other successful corporations to plan for the future by guessing three possible outcomes: (1) things will only improve [this is, unfortunately, the only possible outcome most corporations plan for]; (2) things will get worse in our industry; and (3) things will change in ways we cannot forecast.
Currency Doubleday: 272pp; US$15.95. For more info or to purchase online from Amazon.com

"The Coming Anarchy: Shattering the Dreams of the Post Cold War"
Robert Kaplan is a journalist who casts a dour eye on the future of democracy. He says that a democracy works only in countries with a thriving middle class that pays its taxes. In all other countries, we should not be trying to force democracy -- Russia, Ivory Coast, Yugoslavia, etc -- because it leads to the horrors we currently witness on tv. He also condems the new "holocaust" mentality in American foreign policy, and proposes a vision for the future of the United Nations.
Random House: 198pp; US$21.95. For more info or to purchase online from Amazon.com

"Darwin's Leap of Faith: Exposing the False Religion of Evolution"
I've been reading a number of books over the last couple of years that deal with the problem of reconciling science and religion. In brief, "Science is Fact; religion is Faith," and there ends the discussion. But increasingly, scientists and theologians are beginning to approach each other across the divide. There is an increasing awareness that much of science is based on faith (a.k.a. theories) and that much of religion, such as Christianity, is based on fact (a.k.a. archaeology). Of the ones I've been reading, this is a more lightweight treatment by John Ankerberg and John Weldon. They place they emphasis on how evolution has become the religion of today's society, instead of remaining a theory within science.
Harvest House Publishers: 392pp; US$11.99. For more info or to purchase online from Amazon.com

"Dragonfly Beetle Butterly Bee"
I love lavishly illustrated books, and this is another in my collection. Maryjo Kock handlettered and illustrated this entire, large book. It is a joy to the eye, as well as a reference book on insects. She has written similar titles on "Pond Lake River Sea" and "Seed Leaf Flower Fruit."
Collins Publishers; US$14.98. For more info or to purchase online from Amazon.com

Book Review by Howard Cohen: "The First Conglomerate: 145 Years of the Singer Sewing Machine Company" by Don Bissell
In the way of background, I note the following. Don is a personal friend whom I met during my days as director of The Boston Computer Society's CAD Special Interest Group. He spent years working as an engineering supervisor (mostly CAD related) at the Portsmouth Navy Shipyard (hated Intergraph, loved AutoCAD). His first love is writing, and has done so extensively in trade and technical magazines. This work was the fulfillment of his personal ambition to become a recognized writer outside of the world of technology.
The book is extremely well written, and recounts the history of a segment of American industry that is really unique. I wouldn't suggest that "you can't put it down, etc." but it does made good summer fare. Singer and his partner were marketing geniuses, pioneering real mass marketing -- "a dollar down, a dollar a week," a machine in every home, simple to operate, easy to fix. They created the ever popular Singer Sewing Centers in every town's business district, with the young woman sitting at her Singer in the store window, busy sewing.
Audenreed Press: 250pp; US$19.95. For more info or to purchase online from Amazon.com


Reaction to CAD-Napster Concept

Readers reacted to my worries about B2B sites for CAD users, and the possibility of applying P2P (peer to peer) technology to CAD files. Letters have been edited for clarity and brevity:

"Nice one Ralph. I do believe the issue of insurance for sites storing precious videos, snapshots or, help us, critical documents like DWG files has not been fully discussed or appreciated.
"However, I'm not going for the Napster approach. The whole beauty of the extranet idea is that the information is out there. I want to be able to travel all over the world with nothing but a simple PDA, and someday nothing at all. Every hotel, airline club, waiting room, and bar will have access terminals where I can get to my work, do it, and leave it there. Safe, I hope, and centralized."
- Kathleen Maher, Jon Peddie Associates

"Keeping things local seems like a good idea, so that we can have access to the most recent files without having to copy them to/from a server somewhere. The more critical links in a data transfer, the more opportunity for a broken chain. Shorter chains are automatically more reliable.
"Since most projects have a prime consultant, that would be the place to keep the files. And since we need a dedicated connection to get the fast loads, that issue takes care of itself. Sounds like the P2P concept is an easy choice. It will probably be part of the OS in a year or two."
- John Brunt

"The inertia of moving from one service to another is more pervasive than you state for several reasons:
"1. Importance of single signon: some services actually consist of hundreds of separate sites, each with its own set of userids and passwords administered by each site owner. For consultants, contractors and owners with many projects this can quickly become a nightmare. Other services, on the other hand, have a single unified user directory model (like AOL).
"2. Four degrees of separation: That's probably the right number separating any two companies in the AEC industry worldwide. What that means is that all participants will learn to shun sites that serve narrow needs (architectural collaboration vs. construction collaboration) because they can't stand learning and remembering passwords for, and retransferring data to, umpteen different sites selected by their owners, AEs, or contractors on multiple projects.
"You can't just be concerned with the processes connecting you to others; you also have to accommodate the processes between all those other team members that don't involve you.
"3. Usability: Browsers are easy to use (for passive browsing) but all the sites have very different ways of handling workflow, doc mgt etc. How many browser-based email clients can you manage without going bananas? And email is much simpler.

"P2P has amazing potential (after all, that's what email is) but is not applicable (yet) to Web collaboration for several reasons:
"1. The corporate security implications are horrendous.
"2. The challenge of managing user access rights are horrendous for both the data provider and the external user. We're talking about highly confidential info here, not pirated CDs.
"3. The point of these systems is to reduce the unmanageable proliferation of COPIES of documents (as email and FTP does); and to replace that with a site where each participant puts (and maintains) ONE copy of his work for access by any other team member he designates. Napster is all about multiplying copies of completely static data.
"4. Internet standards for workflow and doc management do not exist.
"Finally, convergence to defacto standards, like Windows, AutoCAD, and English, does not require collusion by competitors. Customers learn that in certain areas they must demand it, and they get it through their own uncoordinated choices. "
- Barry Milliken, Cephren

"Great minds think alike. I wrote the same editorial for this month's CBC re: Napster -- not yet in print, so I know you couldn't have seen it."
- Joe Stoddard, Construction Business Computing

"Uh, Ralph - Mr. Disney passed away several years ago."
- Ken Elliott


Computer News Summaries

K Desktop Environment is one of the user interfaces available for Linux. This article describes what's new in KDE v2: http://www.kde.org/announcements/k3b-announce.html

And speaking of Linux, IBM has introduced a prototype watch-sized device that runs Linux, to prove the operating system can be scaled down. http://www.mercurycenter.com/cgi-bin/edtools/printpage/printpage.pl

I have no interest in game boxes, but Xbox365.com has uploaded the spec for Microsoft's future Xbox, which makes for interesting reading. For example, the Xbox runs a version of Windows 2000 that boots in one second and uses no DLLs. http://www.xbox365.com/stories/xdkcomplete.shtml

Palm is shipping its new M100. Press release at http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/000807/ca_palm_sc.html and a review at http://www.zdnet.com/filters/printerfriendly/0,6061,2612023-54,00.html

 

CAD News Headlines from www.TenLinks.Com

-- August 1 --
Immersion to Acquire 3D Haptic Leader Virtual Technologies
Nemetschek North America Plans to Support Mac OS X
Contract Cancellation Mars Evans & Sutherland's Q2
Eagle Point Introduces New Construction Software

-- August 2 --
GEOMATE Launches CAD-Free Behavior-Modeling Software
Cimmetry Includes 2D & 3D SolidWorks Support in AutoVue
Oce, Intergraph Team on Oce 9600 Printer Driver Pack
Engineous Software Launches iSIGHT 5.5
Lush Tropical Plant Images Available for CAD Visualization
Intergraph Government Solutions Offers Deals at E-Store

-- August 3 --
ANSYS Launches DesignSpace for Autodesk Inventor
New Release of Autodesk Map 5 Delivers Easy Access
CADCAM-E.COM Puts CATIA Translator in SolidWorks
ChiefSymbols Introduces Viking Line of Kitchen Appliances
Global Geomatics Geodata Products Now on Red Hat Linux

-- August 4 --
Soligen Leads Breakthrough in Auto Cylinder Head Design
SpinCircuit Launches XML Symbols Mapped to Database
Spatial Inc. Reports Unimpressive Q2 Results

-- August 7 --
PTC Announces CADDS 5i Release 11
Framework Tackles Schedule Problem with ActiveProject
Eagle Point Issues Irrigation Design Computer Training
Eagle Point Offers Civil Design Computer-Based Training
Alias|Wavefront Brings Studio|Tools to HP-UX Platform
New Altris Software Certified for Windows 2000
SDRC Strengthens Management with Executive Promotion
SDRC Appoints PRI CEO to BOD
CAD Repair Helps Solve Interoperability Problem


Spin Doctor of the Moment

"Tip: Switching to a PC-based accounting system can save dozens of manhours each week."
- www.biztalk.com


Notable Quotable

"The record companies have kind of blown it. They've completely lost the ability to train music listeners into the kind of online consumption patterns that would be beneficial to them."
- Malcom Maclachlan, International Data Corp


Contact!

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